As promised, Bungie ensures transparency in Destiny 2 regarding the Eververse and openly shares the chances for bright engram rewards.
This is how Bungie wants to make the in-game shop more transparent: As part of numerous revisions and improvements to the once-demonized in-game shop, Bungie promised in the summer of 2018 to provide players with deeper insights into the data of the Eververse.
This was meant to further distance themselves from accusations of gambling and other controversial elements of loot boxes that many studios and publishers have struggled with.
They assured the Guardians, among other things, that they would disclose the probabilities of bright engram rewards or allow them to view their personal purchase history on Bungie.net. They have since implemented these promises and published the relevant figures.

What are bright engrams anyway? They are essentially a type of loot box. They can be earned by playing but can also be purchased with real money in the Eververse.
They include a wide pool of cosmetic items such as shaders, sparrows, ships, ornaments for weapons and armor, and emotes.
Drop chances from the Prism Matrix
This is the Prism Matrix: The Prism Matrix is a feature of the Eververse that should give players more control over acquiring specific Eververse items.
Each week, there is a more predictable path to a limited loot pool of various items. One item can be earned freely, while other items can be obtained through paid activations.

If you have already purchased or received an item from the pool, it is checked off the list and can no longer be drawn. Thus, the loot pool gets smaller and the chance for a desired item correspondingly increases.
The chance for items from the Prism Matrix is equal for all items and increases with a smaller loot pool for all rewards alike. Thus, with 10 missing items, you have a 10% chance and with 3 items a 33.3% chance for each individual reward.
Items from bright engrams
Drop chances from bright engrams: When opening bright engrams like the Brand Engram from Season 5, you receive an item from the following three lists:
- Decorative items
- Consumables
- Quests
Items from these lists are categorized into different categories such as accessories, which can contain several item types like ghosts or sparrows.

The rarest items are exotic accessories like ghosts, ships, or sparrows. These have a probability of 2%. Ghost projections or gestures are also among the rarest items from the Eververse loot pool with 2% and 3% chances respectively.
Most frequently, you have a chance to get legendary ghosts, ships, and sparrows. These drop with a probability of 12% each. What many fans did not expect: parts of the armor sets from the Eververse have a drop chance of 16%, which is one of the highest.
Only for shaders with 75% and for teleport effects with 20% do you have higher probabilities.
You can find the individual numbers in this overview:
There is a knockout system and a duplicate protection active. If you receive an item with an account knockout modifier, whether by purchase or drop, that item is removed from the list of potential rewards for that account.
Additionally, there is an increasing probability for certain items. Each time a reward from the list of potential cosmetic rewards or consumables does not drop, the chance for that reward in future drops increases. If you receive the reward, the previously increased chance decreases again.
Drop chances from event engrams: For event engrams – such as during the Crimson Week – the chances for the individual item categories are increased, and this is with a smaller loot pool. Thus, the chance to obtain all event-specific items in conjunction with the knockout system is much higher.
Through this exclusion system, you only receive duplicates within the event once you have obtained all event rewards (except consumables).
It is important to note: The values may vary from event to event and are not set in stone. However, changes will be communicated in a timely manner on the corresponding homepage.

