For the first time in the history of FIFA 19, you can see the probability of what you will pull from the packs in Ultimate Team. The current OTW event highlights just how low the chances actually are to pull a special card.
What is OTW in FUT 19? The Ones-to-Watch event showcases the top transfers of the summer. Special OTW cards are now available, which improve every time the player receives another special card during the FUT 19 season.
These could be “Team of the Week” cards or other specials. For instance, the OTW card of Cristiano Ronaldo could further increase in value if the player receives a special card during the Ultimate Team season. Accordingly, the OTW cards, which are only available for a limited time in sets, are highly sought after.
Here you can find all the details about the OTW event.
OTW players in packs highly unlikely
Minimum chances: However, the current event shows that obtaining one of the coveted cards is extremely unlikely. The new option to view the probabilities of such a draw makes it abundantly clear: The chance of pulling an OTW card is below one percent.
Chance below one percent: This percentage is not further specified: It could effectively be a 0.5%, 0.1%, or 0.01% chance – or even significantly lower.
Special packs not better: This applies not only to standard gold packs but also to premium gold packs and special promo packs like the jumbo premium gold pack or the premium electrum player pack. The rate of all packs in FUT 19 cannot yet be determined.
Thus, it is clear: You should perhaps invest your hard-earned coins elsewhere instead of spending them on packs. You can buy 100 of the 15,000 coin costing jumbo premium gold packs, and still, the probability of pulling an OTW player is low.
However, it will likely be similarly expensive to acquire one of the OTW cards on the transfer market. The OTW card of Leon Goretzka, a coveted CM for a Bundesliga team, is currently priced at about 189,000 coins:
