In Pokémon GO, players are currently trying to hatch the new Pokémon Ignivor. However, the chances of getting it appear to be low.
This is happening in Pokémon GO: Currently, the event An Intuitive Hero
is running, which ends today, May 8, 2023, at 20:00. The most exciting monster of this event is Ignivor.
So far, this has been missing in Pokémon GO, but it can currently be hatched from 2-, 5-, and 10-km eggs during the event. It can also evolve into Ramoth if you collect 400 candies for Ignivor.
However, it was clear early on that this would not be easy, as Ignivor landed in the rarest category of egg pools. It became evident: You will need a lot of luck to hatch Ignivor.
Now, the experts from “TheSilphRoad” have taken on the monster to find out what the actual chances of Ignivor really are.
Only a minimal chance of Ignivor in Pokémon GO
TheSilphRoad is a portal dedicated to Pokémon GO, where experts compile numbers related to game content. There, players have come together to find out what the hatch rate of Ignivor looks like (via TheSilphRoad).
What does the chance look like? As of now, players have hatched 462 eggs in the event and have only been able to record a hatch rate of 0.65% for Ignivor.
- From 167 2-km eggs, one Ignivor hatched, which corresponds to a rate of 0.60%
- From 197 5-km eggs, it was also one, which corresponds to 0.51%
- And from 98 10-km eggs, another one hatched, corresponding to a rate of 1.02%
Connecting all egg groups together, according to TheSilphRoad, the “researchers” would have needed 154 eggs and 766.3 kilometers on average to hatch an Ignivor.
However, it must be noted, according to TheSilphRoad, that the very low hatch rate so far makes it difficult to determine whether the rate is the same across all three egg groups or varies.
It should be noted that Ignivor is apparently extremely rare. In the comments of a corresponding Reddit post, players compare the situation, for example, with monsters like Kapuno.
When it was introduced, it was also extremely rare and should only become more available in the following years. Similar examples are monsters like Milza or Kaumalat. They were long virtually unfindable or only hatchable with tremendous luck before they later became more common.
Some of the best attackers in Pokémon GO were quite rare:
In the comments, players express their criticism of this rate (via reddit). Due to the currently poor chances, some players also think that one should not chase Ignivor too much right now, but rather wait until it becomes available as a research reward or in the context of another event.
What do you think of the event? Were you able to get an Ignivor? Or didn’t you even try to hatch it? What are your thoughts on the topic? Tell us in the comments!
Meanwhile, the next event is already on the horizon: A Daring Hero
starts this week.
