Blizzard reveals the loot from HotS. What is the chance of drawing a special item from the loot boxes?
A Chinese law requires Blizzard – and all other game developers – to now disclose their probabilities for loot boxes in games. Since Heroes of the Storm also has loot boxes since the major “2.0” update, the probabilities had to be published here as well.
- On average, each loot box contains a rare item.
- On average, every 4.5 loot boxes contains an epic item – that is 22% of all cases.
- On average, every 17.5 loot boxes contains a legendary item – that is 5.7% of all cases.
Furthermore, Blizzard points out that these probabilities do not apply to “rerolls”, i.e., the re-rolling of a box’s contents, special event boxes, and special boxes that one receives during the game.
Whether these figures also apply to the European and American markets is uncertain. However, there is currently no evidence that Blizzard uses different probabilities in different regions. Technically, this would certainly be possible.
Cortyn says: It is important to understand that in Heroes of the Storm, it is not guaranteed that every loot box contains a rare item. Instead, there seems to be a chance that two or more rare items are contained, which ultimately raises the chance to “on average, every box”. However, I find it a little surprising that such a statement is compliant with the law’s requirements.
Blizzard has also revealed the probabilities of its “loot boxes” in other games:
