In the MMO shooter Destiny , players have noticed that certain exotic weapons are supposed to drop more frequently if you already have one. Is there any truth to this? Are more Gjallarhorns available if you already have one? And what about the “Wrapping of the Pit? Is it still in the game? How many have already been on Mercury?
BungieUserResearch is the statistics department of Bungie, and fortunately, there’s someone from the department who regularly posts on Reddit and answers some of the fans’ questions. We summarize 3 interesting pieces of information from recent times.
The dice have no memory
It’s one of the most persistent topics in Destiny: The drop rate of certain exotic items. One might not drop a weapon like the Gjallarhorn for ages, then receive it and get it twice on the same day. “Is random really random? Or is there some weighting involved? Is a weapon more likely to drop if you already have it?”
The answer from BungieUserResearch on Reddit: No. Random is random. Dice have no memory. You have the same chance of getting a Gjallarhorn today as you did yesterday.
And what about the “Wrapping of the Pit“, the precursor to the Necrochasm? Is it still in the game with House of Wolves?
The answer from BungieUserResearch: Yes, he spoke again with the responsible people. There is no bug. The Wrapping of the Pit is still in the game, but very, very rare.
And one more piece of information: How many players have been on Mercury and achieved flawless in the Trials of Osiris?
Ten days ago, there were 445,000.
Destiny players will not accept that random is random
Mein MMO suggests: The answer regarding the Gjallarhorn and the loot system will probably fall on deaf ears again. Theories about “how it really is” will persist and circulate just like many “Tower Legends”.
There is a lot of frustration regarding the random factor in Destiny. It’s a matter of belief. Some players have developed their theories suggesting that the chance increases when you already have the Grimoire card or when you use a particular weapon type frequently. Destiny might notice: He seems to like this weapon type, let’s give him one!
Others believe the exact opposite is true: If you destroy all weapons of a certain type, the game thinks: He desperately needs a weapon! Let’s give him a particularly good one.
Unlucky players, who after more than 1,000 hours still do not have the weapons they want, look for all possible reasons for it. They wonder if their account might be affected because they redeemed a free code or something like that.
Random is random – that’s just not a concept that people can easily accept.
A list of common misconceptions about Destiny can be found here: Tower Legends in focus – the 6 top misconceptions in Destiny
