CS:GO player MartinRGB shared a screenshot on Twitter showing his personal spending in the tactical shooter Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. His statistics show just how low the chance of valuable content really is.
How did he illustrate the rarity of valuable items? CS:GO player MartinRGB has opened a total of 91,970 loot boxes (also known as cases) in CS:GO, according to a Twitter post.
Opening a loot box requires case keys, which must be purchased. A case key costs €2.25. This results in a total spending amount of over €200,000 for MartinRGB.
Since MartinRGB did not receive a skin that offset the spending after nearly 92,000 case openings, and according to his own statement, incurred a loss, he demonstrates how rare valuable items are.
What was in the boxes? In the nearly 92,000 boxes, 80.03% of the items MartinRGB received were blue. These are the most common and least exciting items. From the sought-after yellow items, MartinRGB received only 261 pieces.
The 261 yellow items correspond to 0.28% of the total loot boxes opened by MartinRGB. That sounds very low, but it is slightly above the calculated probability of 0.26%.
Overall, the player’s yield was very close to the theoretical probabilities of an item color.
What do we see in the tweet? In the tweet’s image, you can see the statistics of the box openings. The first column in the image shows the color classification of the items sorted by ascending rarity or descending probability.
It is followed by the exact number of items of each color that MartinRGB received in the 91,970 boxes. The third column shows the percentage of a color in relation to the total number of opened boxes. The fourth column shows the theoretical probability of receiving an item of a particular color.
The comparison between the third and fourth columns shows whether MartinRGB exceeded the calculated probability of a color or not.
“Although I have lost money, in the end it’s not a sad story”
What does MartinRGB say about his spending? In the comments of the post, a Twitter user asked MartinRGB how he managed to open 90,000 boxes and whether he did it all day.
MartinRGB explained that he started opening the boxes four years ago. He also noted that he does not regret opening the boxes and that it is not a sad story, even though he lost money.
In CS:GO, skins hold great value. Players sometimes pay outrageous amounts for the designs of knives and other weapons.
A well-known example of the incredible sums that are sometimes paid in the shooter is the sale of an AK-47 skin last year. For the skin, approximately €124,000 was paid.
Someone paid $150,000 for the most expensive skin in a 9-year-old game
